Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carlos Correa

matchup for P. Sandoval

431st out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Patrick Sandoval

matchup for Carlos Correa

170th out of 567 (Best 31%)

Extreme advantage for Correa

Carlos Correa has a 37.4% chance of reaching base vs Patrick Sandoval, which is 2.5% higher than Correa's typical expectations, and 5.5% higher than batters facing Sandoval.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.4%	27.6%	3.3%	5.6%	18.7%	9.8%	18.7%
Correa	+2.5	+2.3	+0.0	+0.5	+1.7	+0.3	-0.2
Sandoval	+5.5	+5.1	+0.7	+0.9	+3.5	+0.4	-5.0

Carlos Correa is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Patrick Sandoval is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Correa has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Patrick Sandoval throws a Changeup 27% of the time. Carlos Correa has an A grade against left-handed Changeups

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Changeup (L)

27%

4-Seam (L)

26%

Slider (L)

25%

Sinker (L)

12%

Curve (L)

10% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

27% of Patrick Sandoval's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has an A grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 27%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

Slow Velo 23%

+10%

Low Ride 32%

+9%

10.3% of Carlos Correa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Patrick Sandoval strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +3.4% 3%

Walk +2.3% 0.0% 38%

In Play +4.9% -3.4% 39%

On Base +7.2% -0.2% 31%

Hit +5.0% -0.1% 14%

Single +1.8% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +1.9% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +1.3% -1.4%

35.0% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Patrick Sandoval induces Standard Grounders at a 39.9% rate, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.5% +5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +2.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.4% -2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% -3.2% 3%

Pop up -0.3% +0.4%

31.3% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 21.1% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +6.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% -3.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.5% -0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.0% -3.2%

10.3% of Carlos Correa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Patrick Sandoval are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.9% +1.1% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° +1.7% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -0.8% +1.2% 11%

29 to 38° -1.1% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° -1.7% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° -0.2% -1.9%

Carlos Correa has 6 plate appearances against Patrick Sandoval in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	0.250
Expected From Contact →			0.91	0.00	0.30	0.61			0.228

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-20	Lineout		24%	2%	74%
2023-05-20	Walk
2023-05-20	Walk
2022-08-12	Lineout		1%	6%	93%
2022-08-12	Groundout		5%	10%	85%
2022-08-12	Single			43%	57%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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