matchup for Elvin Rodriguez
matchup for Carlos Correa
10
Carlos Correa has a 36.5% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 1.6% higher than Correa's typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.5% | 26.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 17.5% |
| Correa | +1.6 | +1.1 | +0.6 | +1.1 | -0.6 | +0.5 | -1.2 |
| Rodriguez | +3.3 | +3.0 | +0.4 | -0.1 | +2.8 | +0.3 | -4.8 |
Carlos Correa is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Correa has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Carlos Correa has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
51%
Slider (R)
21%
Changeup (R)
13%
Curve (R)
12%
9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
9%
+3%
Edge Painter
19%
+2%
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
Weak Challenge
4%
-4%
35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Fast Velo
35%
+20%
High Ride
30%
+20%
Medium Break
30%
+10%
10.3% of Carlos Correa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.2%
+6.5%
3%
Walk
+2.3%
+4.1%
38%
In Play
+4.9%
-10.5%
39%
On Base
+7.2%
+8.4%
31%
Hit
+5.0%
+4.3%
14%
Single
+1.8%
+0.1%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.9%
+0.5%
3%
Home Run
+1.3%
+3.7%
35.0% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.3%
+0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.5%
-8.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.6%
+3.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
+0.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.4%
-4.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.0%
-1.2%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.4%
+5.7%
1%
No Doubter
+0.3%
+1.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.5%
+0.7%
3%
Pop up
-0.3%
+0.9%
31.3% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.9%
-7.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.0%
-0.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.6%
-2.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-3.5%
+0.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
+7.0%
+10.4%
10.3% of Carlos Correa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.3%
-8.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.9%
+6.4%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
-2.0%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.7%
-0.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.8%
+1.1%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.1%
+3.9%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.7%
-0.5%
8%
Above 50°
-0.2%
+0.2%
Carlos Correa has 3 plate appearances against Elvin Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.78 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.76 | 0.260 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2022-05-23 | GIDP | 47% | 52% | ||
| 2022-05-23 | Groundout | 2% | 4% | 94% | |
| 2022-05-23 | Single | 25% | 75% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
