Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carlos Correa

matchup for Aaron Nola

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Carlos Correa

333rd out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Strong advantage for Correa

Carlos Correa has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 1.7% lower than Correa's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	25.6%	3.8%	6.7%	15.1%	7.5%	23.7%
Correa	-1.7	+0.3	+0.6	+1.6	-1.9	-2.0	+4.8
Nola	+3.7	+3.2	+0.9	+0.4	+2.0	+0.4	-7.2

Carlos Correa is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Correa has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Carlos Correa hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

10.3% of Carlos Correa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.2% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.2% +6.3% 3%

Walk +2.3% -2.8% 38%

In Play +4.9% -3.5% 39%

On Base +7.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit +5.0% -2.0% 14%

Single +1.8% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +1.9% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +1.3% -0.5%

35.0% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.5% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.0% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.4% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.3% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.5% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -0.3% -0.7%

31.3% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.0% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.0% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.5% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.0% -0.7%

10.3% of Carlos Correa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%