matchup for Wade Miley
10
Carlos Correa has a 40.5% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 5.5% higher than Correa's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Miley.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 40.5% | 30.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 21.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% |
| Correa | +5.5 | +4.6 | +0.2 | +0.1 | +4.3 | +0.9 | -6.7 |
| Miley | +4.0 | +3.3 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +2.8 | +0.7 | -6.0 |
Carlos Correa is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Correa has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Carlos Correa has an A+ grade against left-handed Cutters
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Cutter (L)
44%
Changeup (L)
23%
4-Seam (L)
16%
Curve (L)
7%
24% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
24%
+4%
Chaser
9%
+3%
Fringe Miss
14%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Weak Challenge
9%
+0%
Meatball
6%
+0%
Strong Challenge
3%
-3%
Non-Competitive
9%
-3%
Mid Challenge
8%
-3%
35% of Wade Miley's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Correa has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Just Gravity
35%
+22%
Small Break
25%
+15%
Medium Slow Velo
27%
+13%
Offspeed (L)
23%
+11%
10.2% of Carlos Correa's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.4% lower than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.4%
-1.5%
3%
Walk
+2.2%
+0.0%
37%
In Play
+5.1%
+1.5%
39%
On Base
+7.7%
-0.5%
31%
Hit
+5.5%
-0.5%
14%
Single
+2.0%
+0.2%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.2%
+0.5%
3%
Home Run
+1.3%
-1.2%
34.8% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. Wade Miley induces Standard Grounders at a 43.9% rate, which is 9.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.3%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.4%
+9.5%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.6%
-1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.9%
-1.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.4%
-2.8%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.0%
-0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.4%
-0.3%
1%
No Doubter
+0.3%
-0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
-1.4%
-3.0%
3%
Pop up
-0.3%
-0.3%
31.4% of Carlos Correa's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.1% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.9%
+2.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.0%
-0.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.6%
+5.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-3.5%
-4.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
+7.1%
-2.8%
10.4% of Carlos Correa's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.1% lower than the league average. 10.0% of batted balls allowed by Wade Miley are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.2%
+7.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+0.9%
+3.0%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
-1.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.7%
-3.6%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.8%
-1.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.1%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.7%
-1.1%
8%
Above 50°
-0.2%
-1.8%
Carlos Correa has 2 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.143 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-08-22 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-08-22 | Groundout | 14% | 86% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
