Matchup Machine

Chris Taylor

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

220th out of 436 (Best 51%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Chris Taylor

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Taylor
2

Model Prediction

Chris Taylor has a 36.6% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 4.3% higher than Taylor's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.6%17.3%1.7%4.2%11.3%19.3%32.7%
Taylor+4.3-2.6-0.5-0.7-1.4+6.9+1.8
Palencia+1.8-2.2-0.6+0.4-2.0+4.0+5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Chris Taylor is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Taylor has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Chris Taylor has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Chris Taylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.6% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.6% +4.4% 3%         Walk +3.9% +3.4% 44%         In Play -10.5% -7.8% 39%         On Base +1.7% -0.7% 31%         Hit -2.2% -4.2% 14%         Single -1.0% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.6%

History

Chris Taylor has 1 plate appearance against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.690.030.620.040.688
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-07Lineout3%62%4%31%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.