Matchup Machine

Chris Taylor

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

107th out of 436 (Best 25%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Chris Taylor

452nd out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers
5

Model Prediction

Chris Taylor has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.9% lower than Taylor's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%18.0%1.6%5.1%11.3%11.3%32.0%
Taylor-2.9-1.8-0.6+0.1-1.3-1.1+1.2
Weathers-0.6-3.5-0.4-0.5-2.6+3.0+7.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Chris Taylor is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Taylor has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Chris Taylor has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Chris Taylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.6% -2.1% 3%         Walk +3.9% -0.6% 44%         In Play -10.5% +2.7% 39%         On Base +1.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit -2.2% +1.5% 14%         Single -1.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.5%

History

Chris Taylor has 4 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441001200.250
Expected From Contact →0.300.000.010.290.074
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-18Strikeout
2024-09-18Single29%71%
2023-05-14Strikeout
2023-05-14Flyout99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.