Matchup Machine

Chris Taylor

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matchup for Chris Paddack

162nd out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Chris Paddack

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matchup for Chris Taylor

262nd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Leans in favor of Taylor
1

Model Prediction

Chris Taylor has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 1.2% lower than Taylor's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Paddack.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%21.5%2.9%5.8%12.8%9.5%29.3%
Taylor-1.2+1.7+0.7+0.9+0.2-3.0-1.6
Paddack+0.8-2.2-0.4+0.2-1.9+3.0+7.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Chris Taylor is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Taylor has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Chris Taylor has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

18.5% of Chris Taylor's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.6% higher than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +6.6% +4.3% 3%         Walk +3.9% -3.2% 44%         In Play -10.5% -1.1% 39%         On Base +1.7% -3.8% 31%         Hit -2.2% -0.6% 14%         Single -1.0% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.6% -0.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.0%

History

Chris Taylor has 2 plate appearances against Chris Paddack in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.110.000.020.090.054
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-04-13Lineout2%9%89%
2022-04-13Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.