Matchup Machine

Kevin Newman

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matchup for C. Hernandez

149th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Kevin Newman

295th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Leans in favor of Newman
2

Model Prediction

Kevin Newman has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.2% higher than Newman's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.8%24.9%1.5%6.0%17.5%5.9%16.1%
Newman-0.2-0.7+0.0+0.5-1.2+0.5+0.1
Hernandez-1.4+3.4-1.6+0.1+4.9-4.8-7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Newman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Newman has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Kevin Newman has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% -1.8% 5%         Walk -2.4% +2.0% 35%         In Play +11.2% -0.2% 39%         On Base +6.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +9.2% -1.1% 14%         Single +5.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +5.8% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years