Matchup Machine

Kevin Newman

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matchup for Ryne Nelson

190th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Ryne Nelson

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matchup for Kevin Newman

449th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Moderate advantage for Nelson
3

Model Prediction

Kevin Newman has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 2.1% lower than Newman's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Nelson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.9%25.1%1.3%4.5%19.3%3.8%17.3%
Newman-2.1-0.5-0.1-1.0+0.6-1.6+1.3
Nelson-1.1+1.7-1.4-0.4+3.5-2.8-8.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Newman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Newman has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Kevin Newman has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% -2.9% 5%         Walk -2.4% -2.2% 35%         In Play +11.2% +5.1% 39%         On Base +6.8% +0.3% 31%         Hit +9.2% +2.5% 14%         Single +5.2% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +5.8% +1.5% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years