Matchup Machine

Kevin Newman

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matchup for Tobias Myers

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Tobias Myers

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matchup for Kevin Newman

211st out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Newman
4

Model Prediction

Kevin Newman has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Tobias Myers, which is 0.9% higher than Newman's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Myers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%27.5%1.4%6.5%19.6%4.4%16.3%
Newman+0.9+1.90.0+1.0+0.9-1.0+0.3
Myers+0.1+3.3-1.6+0.5+4.4-3.2-7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Newman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tobias Myers is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Newman has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tobias Myers throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Kevin Newman has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Cutter (R)
22%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Tobias Myers strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% -1.6% 5%         Walk -2.4% -1.7% 35%         In Play +11.2% +3.3% 39%         On Base +6.8% +0.5% 31%         Hit +9.2% +2.2% 14%         Single +5.2% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +5.8% +1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.5%

History

Kevin Newman has 1 plate appearance against Tobias Myers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.950.000.020.930.947
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-14Single2%93%5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.