Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kevin Newman

matchup for Aaron Civale

181st out of 436 (Best 42%)

Aaron Civale

matchup for Kevin Newman

429th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Civale

Kevin Newman has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 2.6% lower than Newman's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Civale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	23.9%	1.6%	4.5%	17.8%	4.5%	14.4%
Newman	-2.6	-1.7	+0.1	-1.0	-0.8	-0.9	-1.7
Civale	-1.0	+2.4	-1.6	+0.2	+3.9	-3.4	-7.1

Kevin Newman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Newman has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Kevin Newman has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

21%

Curve (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

11%

Slider (R)

10%

21% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Kevin Newman has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

20% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Kevin Newman has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 20%

+15%

Medium Break 24%

+15%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -8.8% +0.4% 5%

Walk -2.4% -1.3% 35%

In Play +11.2% +1.0% 39%

On Base +6.8% -0.9% 31%

Hit +9.2% +0.5% 14%

Single +5.2% 0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +5.8% +0.3% 3%

Home Run -1.9% +0.1%

38.7% of Kevin Newman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Civale induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.2% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.2% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.0% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +7.4% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.5% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer -2.4% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.6% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.4% -0.7% 3%

Pop up +0.5% +1.8%

10.9% of Kevin Newman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.4% lower than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.0% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +4.3% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.8% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.3% -3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.4% +0.7%

12.5% of Kevin Newman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.0% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%