Matchup Machine

Kevin Newman

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matchup for Sandy Alcantara

290th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Sandy Alcantara

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matchup for Kevin Newman

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Newman
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Model Prediction

Kevin Newman has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Sandy Alcantara, which is 1.4% higher than Newman's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Alcantara.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%26.6%1.2%5.9%19.5%5.9%19.0%
Newman+1.4+0.9-0.3+0.3+0.9+0.5+3.0
Alcantara+0.2+4.7-1.2+1.0+4.9-4.5-7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Newman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Sandy Alcantara is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Newman has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sandy Alcantara throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Kevin Newman has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
28%
   Changeup (R)
25%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Slider (R)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Sandy Alcantara strikes out 17.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% +2.6% 5%         Walk -2.4% -0.7% 35%         In Play +11.2% -1.9% 39%         On Base +6.8% -4.1% 31%         Hit +9.2% -3.3% 14%         Single +5.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +5.8% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -1.4%

History

Kevin Newman has 6 plate appearances against Sandy Alcantara in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual660000100.000
Expected From Contact →1.690.000.071.620.282
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-13Groundout9%91%
2023-05-13Groundout33%67%
2023-05-13Lineout7%25%68%
2022-07-24Groundout23%77%
2022-07-24Lineout73%27%
2022-07-24Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.