Matchup Machine

Kevin Newman

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matchup for Austin Gomber

282nd out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Kevin Newman

44th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Strong advantage for Newman
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Model Prediction

Kevin Newman has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.4% higher than Newman's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%29.3%1.7%7.8%19.8%3.2%10.3%
Newman+1.4+3.6+0.2+2.3+1.1-2.3-5.8
Gomber+0.7+3.4-1.7+1.1+3.9-2.7-7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Kevin Newman is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Newman has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Kevin Newman has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.4% -2.5% 35%         In Play +11.2% +5.9% 39%         On Base +6.8% +0.6% 31%         Hit +9.2% +3.1% 14%         Single +5.2% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +5.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.3%

History

Kevin Newman has 12 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 12 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual12123102100.250
Expected From Contact →2.530.400.571.550.210
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-13Lineout4%3%93%
2024-08-13Flyout4%95%
2024-04-10Groundout15%85%
2024-04-10Groundout17%83%
2023-06-19Groundout2%98%
2023-06-19Home Run40%41%1%18%
2023-06-19Strikeout
2023-05-17Single56%44%
2023-05-17Pop Out100%
2022-07-17Single7%22%70%
2022-07-17Forceout38%61%
2022-07-17Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.