Matchup Machine

Kevin Newman

sometext

matchup for Wade Miley

168th out of 436 (Best 39%)

sometext

Wade Miley

sometext

matchup for Kevin Newman

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Newman
8

Model Prediction

Kevin Newman has a 35.1% chance of reaching base vs Wade Miley, which is 4.0% higher than Newman's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Miley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.1%29.6%1.4%5.6%22.6%5.5%11.1%
Newman+4.0+3.90.0+0.1+3.9+0.1-4.9
Miley-1.4+2.7-1.5+0.7+3.6-4.1-6.9

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Kevin Newman is better vs left-handed pitching. Wade Miley is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Newman has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Wade Miley throws a Cutter 44% of the time. Kevin Newman hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (L)
44%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   4-Seam (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.4% of Kevin Newman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% lower than the league average. Wade Miley strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -8.8% -1.5% 5%         Walk -2.4% +0.0% 35%         In Play +11.2% +1.5% 39%         On Base +6.8% -0.5% 31%         Hit +9.2% -0.5% 14%         Single +5.2% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +5.8% +0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -1.2%

History

Kevin Newman has 5 plate appearances against Wade Miley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551010100.200
Expected From Contact →1.000.001.000.000.200
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-09Double
2023-07-09Strikeout
2023-07-09Lineout
2022-09-24Pop Out100%
2022-09-24Field Error

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.