Matchup Machine

Dansby Swanson

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matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

179th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Yusei Kikuchi

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matchup for Dansby Swanson

534th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Kikuchi
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Model Prediction

Dansby Swanson has a 26.5% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 4.9% lower than Swanson's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Kikuchi.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.5%20.0%2.4%3.8%13.8%6.5%30.8%
Swanson-4.9-1.9-0.1-0.9-0.9-3.0+7.4
Kikuchi-0.1-0.6-0.3-1.0+0.7+0.5+1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Dansby Swanson is better vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Swanson has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Dansby Swanson has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
24%
   Changeup (L)
11%
   Curve (L)
11%
   Cutter (L)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.7% of Dansby Swanson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.5% +4.3% 4%         Walk +1.1% -1.4% 39%         In Play +0.4% -2.8% 39%         On Base +1.7% -0.9% 31%         Hit +0.6% +0.5% 14%         Single -0.4% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.4% +0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years