Matchup Machine

Miguel Andujar

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

307th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Miguel Andujar

301st out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of Andujar
1

Model Prediction

Miguel Andujar has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.2% higher than Andujar's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%25.1%1.0%5.8%18.3%5.2%14.4%
Andujar-0.2+1.1-0.5+1.0+0.5-1.3-0.9
Weathers+0.5+3.6-1.1+0.3+4.4-3.1-10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Andujar is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Andujar has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Miguel Andujar has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Miguel Andujar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.1% -2.1% 5%         Walk -3.0% -0.6% 34%         In Play +13.1% +2.7% 39%         On Base +6.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit +9.0% +1.5% 14%         Single +5.2% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +5.6% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -0.5%

History

Miguel Andujar has 3 plate appearances against Ryan Weathers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.160.000.010.160.055
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-01Groundout16%84%
2023-10-01Flyout100%
2023-10-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.