Matchup Machine

Miguel Andujar

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

313th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Miguel Andujar

551st out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

Miguel Andujar has a 25.1% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 5.5% lower than Andujar's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.1%21.8%1.5%4.5%15.8%3.2%23.3%
Andujar-5.5-2.9+0.1-0.9-2.1-2.7+8.3
Gilbert+0.3+2.6-1.3+0.4+3.6-2.3-13.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Andujar is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Andujar has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Miguel Andujar has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.4% of Miguel Andujar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.5% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.5% +4.3% 6%         Walk -3.3% -4.1% 34%         In Play +13.8% -0.1% 39%         On Base +5.1% -7.8% 31%         Hit +8.5% -3.7% 14%         Single +4.9% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B +5.3% -2.0% 3%         Home Run -1.7% +0.5%

History

Miguel Andujar has 6 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual660000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.250.000.000.240.041
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Lineout
2025-03-27Groundout
2025-03-27Groundout
2024-06-05Groundout24%76%
2024-06-05Strikeout
2024-06-05Pop Out100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.