Matchup Machine

Miguel Andujar

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matchup for Elvis Peguero

103rd out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Elvis Peguero

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matchup for Miguel Andujar

311st out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Leans in favor of Andujar
1

Model Prediction

Miguel Andujar has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Elvis Peguero, which is 1.5% higher than Andujar's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Peguero.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%24.2%1.0%3.7%19.6%7.9%14.7%
Andujar+1.5+0.2-0.5-1.1+1.8+1.4-0.6
Peguero-2.9-0.1-0.9-0.6+1.4-2.9-6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Andujar is worse vs right-handed pitching. Elvis Peguero is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Andujar has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvis Peguero throws a Slider 52% of the time. Miguel Andujar has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
48%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Miguel Andujar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Elvis Peguero strikes out 12.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.1% -4.6% 5%         Walk -3.0% +2.1% 34%         In Play +13.1% +2.5% 39%         On Base +6.1% +4.9% 31%         Hit +9.0% +2.7% 14%         Single +5.2% +1.9% 13%         2B / 3B +5.6% +2.3% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -1.4%

History

Miguel Andujar has 1 plate appearance against Elvis Peguero in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.140.000.000.140.145
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-05Forceout14%86%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.