Matchup Machine

Miguel Andujar

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matchup for Tanner Houck

149th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Miguel Andujar

390th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Leans in favor of Houck
2

Model Prediction

Miguel Andujar has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 0.9% lower than Andujar's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%22.0%1.1%3.9%17.0%7.7%12.2%
Andujar-0.9-2.1-0.4-0.9-0.8+1.2-3.1
Houck-2.1-0.1-1.0-0.5+1.4-2.0-7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Andujar is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Andujar has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Miguel Andujar has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Miguel Andujar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.1% -1.6% 5%         Walk -3.0% +0.2% 34%         In Play +13.1% +1.4% 39%         On Base +6.1% +0.4% 31%         Hit +9.0% +0.3% 14%         Single +5.2% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +5.6% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -0.9%

History

Miguel Andujar has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.350.020.290.050.117
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-11Forceout4%95%
2024-07-11Flyout2%28%1%70%
2024-07-11Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.