Matchup Machine

Miguel Andujar

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

128th out of 436 (Best 30%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Miguel Andujar

178th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Moderate advantage for Andujar
4

Model Prediction

Miguel Andujar has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 1.4% higher than Andujar's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%24.7%1.8%4.2%18.7%7.3%13.1%
Andujar+1.4+0.6+0.3-0.6+0.9+0.8-2.2
Flaherty-2.2+1.4-1.8-0.9+4.2-3.6-9.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Andujar is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Andujar has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Miguel Andujar has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Miguel Andujar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.1% +5.8% 5%         Walk -3.0% -1.5% 34%         In Play +13.1% -4.3% 39%         On Base +6.1% -2.0% 31%         Hit +9.0% -0.5% 14%         Single +5.2% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +5.6% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -0.2%

History

Miguel Andujar has 6 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual661001000.167
Expected From Contact →1.020.000.040.970.169
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-03Field Error
2024-08-03Single88%11%
2024-08-03Flyout99%
2022-09-30Lineout99%
2022-09-30Groundout8%92%
2022-09-30Flyout2%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.