Matchup Machine

Miguel Andujar

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matchup for Chris Sale

375th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Chris Sale

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matchup for Miguel Andujar

219th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Andujar
3

Model Prediction

Miguel Andujar has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Chris Sale, which is 0.9% higher than Andujar's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Sale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%26.0%1.4%6.6%18.0%5.5%18.3%
Andujar+0.9+1.9-0.1+1.8+0.2-1.0+3.0
Sale+2.0+3.7-0.7+0.8+3.6-1.8-13.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Andujar is better vs left-handed pitching. Chris Sale is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Andujar has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Sale throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Miguel Andujar has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
39%
   Slider (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

8.6% of Miguel Andujar's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.1% lower than the league average. Chris Sale strikes out 23.2% of the batters he faces, which is 11.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -10.1% +11.2% 5%         Walk -3.0% -2.1% 34%         In Play +13.1% -9.1% 39%         On Base +6.1% -4.6% 31%         Hit +9.0% -2.5% 14%         Single +5.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +5.6% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.7% -0.6%

History

Miguel Andujar has 3 plate appearances against Chris Sale in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332101000.667
Expected From Contact →1.120.130.750.250.374
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-01Single5%95%
2024-06-01Home Run13%74%3%9%
2024-06-01Groundout16%84%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.