Matchup Machine

Joey Meneses

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matchup for Austin Gomber

178th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Joey Meneses

138th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Meneses
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Model Prediction

Joey Meneses has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.1% higher than Meneses's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%27.6%1.8%6.9%18.8%4.4%15.2%
Meneses+0.1+3.3+0.1+2.0+1.1-3.2-6.2
Gomber+0.3+1.7-1.5+0.3+2.9-1.4-2.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Meneses is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Meneses has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Joey Meneses has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Joey Meneses's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -3.3% 5%         Walk -2.0% -2.5% 37%         In Play +5.5% +5.9% 39%         On Base +0.9% +0.6% 31%         Hit +3.0% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.9% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.9% +0.3%

History

Joey Meneses has 6 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with 2 doubles and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual663021000.500
Expected From Contact →2.260.640.131.490.376
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-25Double64%9%27%
2023-07-25Single46%54%
2023-07-25Field Error
2023-04-08Double3%88%9%
2023-04-08Flyout100%
2023-04-08Groundout14%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.