Matchup Machine

Joey Meneses

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

288th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Joey Meneses

10th out of 567 (Best 3%)

Extreme advantage for Meneses
10

Model Prediction

Joey Meneses has a 39.9% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 8.0% higher than Meneses's typical expectations, and 2.3% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction39.9%32.4%1.4%5.6%25.3%7.6%14.9%
Meneses+8.0+8.1-0.3+0.8+7.6-0.1-6.6
Stroman+2.3+3.5-1.3-0.2+5.0-1.2-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Joey Meneses is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Meneses has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Joey Meneses has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.5% of Joey Meneses's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -3.1% 5%         Walk -2.0% -0.8% 37%         In Play +5.5% +3.9% 39%         On Base +0.9% +3.0% 31%         Hit +3.0% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.9% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.0% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.9% -1.1%

History

Joey Meneses has 8 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 8 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual884004300.500
Expected From Contact →2.420.000.212.200.302
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-05-03Single2%53%45%
2023-05-03Single43%56%
2023-05-03Strikeout
2022-08-15Single1%95%4%
2022-08-15Groundout17%5%78%
2022-08-15Strikeout
2022-08-09Single24%76%
2022-08-09Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.