Matchup Machine

Travis Jankowski

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matchup for Jared Jones

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for T. Jankowski

375th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
3

Model Prediction

Travis Jankowski has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.4% higher than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%20.4%1.2%4.6%14.5%10.1%24.4%
Jankowski-0.4-1.50.0+0.1-1.5+1.0+3.3
Jones-0.6-0.5-1.8-0.4+1.7-0.1-4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Travis Jankowski is better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jankowski has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Travis Jankowski has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% +0.4% 4%         Walk +0.9% +0.6% 38%         In Play +4.8% -1.1% 39%         On Base +3.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.3% -0.8% 14%         Single +2.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.6% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years