Travis Jankowski has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 1.0% lower than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Bradley.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.9% | 22.1% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 22.4% |
Jankowski | -1.0 | +0.3 | 0.0 | -0.4 | +0.7 | -1.3 | +1.3 |
Bradley | -0.8 | -0.5 | -1.4 | -0.8 | +1.7 | -0.3 | -4.0 |
Travis Jankowski is better vs right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jankowski has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Travis Jankowski has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Travis Jankowski has 4 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a walk
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.287 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-07-18 | Forceout | 6% | 94% | ||
2023-07-18 | Single | 6% | 51% | 43% | |
2023-06-10 | Walk | ||||
2023-06-10 | Fielders Choice | 22% | 78% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.