Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Travis Jankowski

matchup for Luis Castillo

102nd out of 436 (Best 24%)

Luis Castillo

matchup for T. Jankowski

370th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Castillo

Travis Jankowski has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Luis Castillo, which is 1.0% lower than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Castillo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	22.3%	1.3%	4.1%	16.9%	7.6%	21.3%
Jankowski	-1.0	+0.5	+0.1	-0.5	+0.9	-1.5	+0.2
Castillo	-0.9	-0.9	-1.8	-1.0	+1.9	+0.0	-3.3

Travis Jankowski is better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Castillo is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Jankowski has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Castillo throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Travis Jankowski has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

19%

6% of Luis Castillo's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Travis Jankowski has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

43% of Luis Castillo's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Travis Jankowski has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 43%

+28%

Very Fast Velo 29%

+21%

Medium Drop 24%

+11%

11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Luis Castillo strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.8% +7.2% 4%

Walk +0.9% -1.4% 38%

In Play +4.8% -5.8% 39%

On Base +3.2% -5.8% 31%

Hit +2.3% -4.4% 14%

Single +2.3% -2.1% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% -1.8% 3%

Home Run -2.6% -0.5%

48.0% of Travis Jankowski's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. Luis Castillo induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +13.6% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer +7.1% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.6% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.5% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -3.1% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -8.7% -3.8% 3%

Pop up -0.8% 0.0%

7.0% of Travis Jankowski's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 17.3% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Luis Castillo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% +1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.6% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% -3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -17.3% +1.1%

9.3% of Travis Jankowski's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 11.4% of batted balls allowed by Luis Castillo are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +9.1% +1.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +2.5% +1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.4% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -1.0% 15%

19 to 28° -3.2% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -2.2% 0.0% 7%

39 to 50° -6.0% -1.2% 8%

Above 50° -3.4% +1.4%

Travis Jankowski has 3 plate appearances against Luis Castillo in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.42	0.00	0.02	1.39			0.472

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-02	Single		2%	95%	3%
2023-06-02	Groundout			12%	87%
2023-06-02	Lineout			32%	68%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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