Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Travis Jankowski

matchup for Seth Lugo

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

Seth Lugo

matchup for T. Jankowski

368th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Moderate advantage for Lugo

Travis Jankowski has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.7% lower than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	22.8%	1.2%	4.1%	17.5%	7.4%	21.9%
Jankowski	-0.7	+0.9	0.0	-0.4	+1.4	-1.7	+0.8
Lugo	-2.3	-1.2	-1.9	-0.8	+1.6	-1.1	-2.9

Travis Jankowski is better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jankowski has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Travis Jankowski has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Travis Jankowski has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

25% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Travis Jankowski has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 25%

+20%

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.8% +0.8% 4%

Walk +0.9% -2.3% 38%

In Play +4.8% +1.4% 39%

On Base +3.2% -0.4% 31%

Hit +2.3% +1.9% 14%

Single +2.3% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -2.6% +0.1%

48.0% of Travis Jankowski's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 13.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.2% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +13.6% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.6% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.1% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -2.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.5% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.1% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -8.7% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -2.2%

7.0% of Travis Jankowski's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 17.3% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.0% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.6% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -17.3% -1.6%

9.3% of Travis Jankowski's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%