Matchup Machine

Travis Jankowski

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matchup for Austin Gomber

89th out of 436 (Best 21%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for T. Jankowski

129th out of 567 (Best 24%)

Moderate advantage for Jankowski
3

Model Prediction

Travis Jankowski has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.3% higher than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%25.4%1.3%6.5%17.6%5.8%16.4%
Jankowski+0.3+3.6+0.1+2.0+1.5-3.3-4.8
Gomber-0.5-0.5-2.1-0.1+1.70.0-1.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Travis Jankowski is worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Jankowski doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Travis Jankowski has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% -3.3% 4%         Walk +0.9% -2.5% 38%         In Play +4.8% +5.9% 39%         On Base +3.2% +0.6% 31%         Hit +2.3% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.3% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -2.6% +0.3%

History

Travis Jankowski has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.220.020.140.060.111
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-22Groundout6%94%
2022-05-22Flyout2%14%83%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.