Matchup Machine

      Travis Jankowski

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      matchup for Joe Mantiply

      44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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      Joe Mantiply

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      matchup for T. Jankowski

      511st out of 564 (Worst 10%)

      Strong advantage for Mantiply
      7

      Model Prediction

      Travis Jankowski has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 5.9% lower than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Mantiply.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Travis Jankowski is worse vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Jankowski has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Travis Jankowski hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      42%
         Curve (L)
      29%
         Changeup (L)
      24%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.0% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +1.2% 4%         Walk +0.9% -3.0% 37%         In Play +5.2% +1.9% 39%         On Base +4.0% -2.9% 31%         Hit +3.1% +0.1% 14%         Single +2.7% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +0.1% 3%         Home Run -2.7% -0.1%

      History

      Travis Jankowski has 1 plate appearance against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual110000100.000
      Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-05-03Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.