Matchup Machine

Travis Jankowski

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matchup for Ross Stripling

69th out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Ross Stripling

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matchup for T. Jankowski

37th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Strong advantage for Jankowski
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Model Prediction

Travis Jankowski has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 2.6% higher than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Stripling.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%28.0%1.3%5.7%21.0%5.5%11.0%
Jankowski+2.6+6.2+0.1+1.2+4.9-3.6-10.1
Stripling-1.4-1.0-1.4-0.3+0.7-0.4-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Travis Jankowski is better vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jankowski has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Travis Jankowski has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Kn-Curve (R)
16%
   Sinker (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.8% +3.2% 4%         Walk +0.9% -2.9% 38%         In Play +4.8% -0.3% 39%         On Base +3.2% -3.9% 31%         Hit +2.3% -0.9% 14%         Single +2.3% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.6% -0.1%

History

Travis Jankowski has 5 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552002100.400
Expected From Contact →0.810.000.000.810.162
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-07Single11%89%
2024-05-07Strikeout
2024-04-10Groundout6%94%
2024-04-10Groundout58%42%
2024-04-10Single5%95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.