Travis Jankowski has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 2.6% higher than Jankowski's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Stripling.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.5% | 28.0% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 21.0% | 5.5% | 11.0% |
Jankowski | +2.6 | +6.2 | +0.1 | +1.2 | +4.9 | -3.6 | -10.1 |
Stripling | -1.4 | -1.0 | -1.4 | -0.3 | +0.7 | -0.4 | -1.9 |
Travis Jankowski is better vs right-handed pitching. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Jankowski has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Travis Jankowski has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
11.2% of Travis Jankowski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.8% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Travis Jankowski has 5 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.81 | 0.162 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-07 | Single | 11% | 89% | ||
2024-05-07 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-04-10 | Groundout | 6% | 94% | ||
2024-04-10 | Groundout | 58% | 42% | ||
2024-04-10 | Single | 5% | 95% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.