Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jesse Winker

matchup for Y. Yamamoto

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

matchup for Jesse Winker

402nd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Winker

Jesse Winker has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 1.8% lower than Winker's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Yamamoto.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.9%	21.7%	2.8%	4.8%	14.2%	12.1%	24.3%
Winker	-1.8	+0.2	+0.2	-0.2	+0.2	-1.9	+2.1
Yamamoto	+4.7	+1.5	+0.5	+0.9	+0.1	+3.2	-3.5

Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Winker has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jesse Winker has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Splitter (R)

24%

Curve (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

7% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

43% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 43%

+24%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 24%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.4% +3.3% 2%

Walk +4.9% -1.8% 40%

In Play -0.5% -1.4% 39%

On Base +7.3% +1.2% 31%

Hit +2.4% +3.1% 14%

Single +0.8% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.2% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.5%

35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.6% +3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% -6.6% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -0.5%

26.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.0% +5.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.9% -7.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.5% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% +2.6%

11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.7% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at this angle, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.4% +7.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% +5.9% 8%

1 to 6° +2.3% -2.9% 18%

7 to 18° +1.4% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° -2.3% -3.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -2.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.6% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% -3.3%

Jesse Winker has 3 plate appearances against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.05	0.00	0.00	0.04			0.015

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-25	Flyout			1%	98%
2024-04-25	Groundout			3%	97%
2024-04-25	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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