matchup for Will Warren
matchup for Jesse Winker
9
Jesse Winker has a 38.2% chance of reaching base vs Will Warren, which is 2.6% higher than Winker's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Warren.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 38.2% | 21.3% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 24.8% |
| Winker | +2.6 | -0.2 | +0.0 | +1.5 | -1.7 | +2.8 | +2.4 |
| Warren | +4.7 | -0.6 | -0.1 | +1.2 | -1.6 | +5.2 | -1.5 |
Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Will Warren is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Winker has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Will Warren throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jesse Winker has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
28%
Slider (R)
27%
Changeup (R)
10%
Cutter (R)
5%
9% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
9%
+4%
Likely Ball
23%
+4%
Chaser
8%
+2%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
Edge Painter
16%
-1%
Mid Challenge
8%
-3%
Meatball
2%
-4%
36% of Will Warren's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Drop
36%
+24%
Extreme Break
33%
+18%
Medium Fast Velo
28%
+13%
Fastball (R)
63%
+9%
12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Will Warren strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.4%
+3.1%
2%
Walk
+4.9%
+1.4%
40%
In Play
-0.5%
-4.5%
39%
On Base
+7.2%
-0.3%
31%
Hit
+2.4%
-1.7%
14%
Single
+0.8%
-1.9%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.2%
-1.5%
3%
Home Run
+0.4%
+1.6%
35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Will Warren induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.7%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
-0.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.6%
-1.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-0.4%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.6%
-0.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
-2.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.3%
+2.2%
1%
No Doubter
-0.1%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.6%
+7.6%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
-2.8%
27.0% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.0%
-9.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.1%
-6.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.9%
+6.5%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.5%
+6.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.7%
+2.4%
11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 8.4% of batted balls allowed by Will Warren are hit at this angle, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.4%
+0.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.8%
+1.9%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.3%
-2.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.4%
-3.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.3%
+5.3%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.5%
-3.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
+2.4%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-1.9%
No History in the last 3 years
