Matchup Machine

Jesse Winker

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matchup for Daniel Palencia

406th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Daniel Palencia

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matchup for Jesse Winker

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Winker
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Model Prediction

Jesse Winker has a 40.0% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 4.4% higher than Winker's typical expectations, and 5.2% higher than batters facing Palencia.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction40.0%19.4%2.1%4.8%12.5%20.6%23.8%
Winker+4.4-2.2-0.5-0.2-1.4+6.6+1.6
Palencia+5.2-0.1-0.2+0.9-0.8+5.3-3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Winker has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Jesse Winker has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
61%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.4% +4.4% 2%         Walk +4.9% +3.4% 40%         In Play -0.5% -7.8% 39%         On Base +7.3% -0.7% 31%         Hit +2.4% -4.2% 14%         Single +0.8% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years