matchup for Declan Cronin
matchup for Jesse Winker
7
Jesse Winker has a 36.4% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.7% higher than Winker's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Cronin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.4% | 23.4% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 21.6% |
| Winker | +0.7 | +1.9 | -0.2 | +0.2 | +1.9 | -1.1 | -0.7 |
| Cronin | +4.0 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.6 | -0.6 | +3.8 | -2.3 |
Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Winker has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Jesse Winker has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
52%
Sinker (R)
41%
4-Seam (R)
6%
13% of Declan Cronin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
13%
+5%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Fringe Miss
10%
-2%
Meatball
2%
-4%
52% of Declan Cronin's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 40% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Drop
52%
+40%
Breaking (R)
52%
+22%
Medium Fast Velo
29%
+14%
Medium Break
20%
+11%
12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.4%
-0.4%
2%
Walk
+4.9%
-0.2%
40%
In Play
-0.5%
+0.6%
39%
On Base
+7.2%
+3.9%
31%
Hit
+2.4%
+4.1%
14%
Single
+0.8%
+2.7%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.2%
+3.1%
3%
Home Run
+0.4%
-1.7%
35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Declan Cronin induces Standard Grounders at a 52.5% rate, which is 18.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.7%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
+18.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.6%
+1.5%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-5.9%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.6%
-0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
-2.0%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.3%
-1.5%
1%
No Doubter
-0.1%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.6%
-6.5%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
-2.0%
27.0% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 31.2% of batted balls allowed by Declan Cronin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.0%
+4.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.1%
-4.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.9%
+0.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.5%
-7.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.7%
+6.9%
11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 7.0% of batted balls allowed by Declan Cronin are hit at this angle, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.4%
+19.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.8%
-2.3%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.3%
+1.0%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.4%
+1.0%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.3%
-5.7%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.5%
-4.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
-4.8%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
-4.6%
Jesse Winker has 2 plate appearances against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.69 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.57 | 0.345 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-04-28 | Flyout | 1% | 2% | 97% | |
| 2024-04-27 | Single | 9% | 57% | 34% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
