matchup for C. Hernandez
matchup for Jesse Winker
9
Jesse Winker has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 2.2% higher than Winker's typical expectations, and 5.5% higher than batters facing Hernandez.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 37.8% | 19.9% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 22.2% |
| Winker | +2.2 | -1.6 | +0.2 | +1.0 | -2.8 | +3.8 | -0.1 |
| Hernandez | +5.5 | -1.7 | -0.3 | +0.1 | -1.5 | +7.2 | -1.7 |
Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Winker has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jesse Winker has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
49%
Slider (R)
19%
Curve (R)
9%
Kn-Curve (R)
8%
Splitter (R)
6%
Sinker (R)
6%
14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
+0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Edge Painter
16%
-1%
Weak Challenge
6%
-2%
Meatball
4%
-2%
26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Fast Velo
26%
+23%
Medium Break
38%
+19%
High Ride
25%
+15%
12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-4.4%
-1.9%
2%
Walk
+4.9%
+1.9%
40%
In Play
-0.5%
0.0%
39%
On Base
+7.2%
+0.8%
31%
Hit
+2.4%
-1.1%
14%
Single
+0.8%
-1.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.2%
-0.6%
3%
Home Run
+0.4%
+0.6%
35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.6% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.7%
+0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
-6.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+2.6%
-1.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-2.8%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.6%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
+2.9%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.3%
+0.7%
1%
No Doubter
-0.1%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.6%
+4.2%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
+2.6%
27.0% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.0%
-4.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.1%
-0.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+1.9%
+1.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-2.5%
+3.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.7%
-0.9%
11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.4%
-6.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.8%
+0.5%
8%
1 to 6°
+2.3%
-2.5%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.4%
-0.3%
15%
19 to 28°
-2.3%
+1.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.5%
+0.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.6%
+1.9%
8%
Above 50°
+0.2%
+5.3%
Jesse Winker has 3 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.296 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2022-04-24 | Pop Out | 100% | |||
| 2022-04-24 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
| 2022-04-24 | Lineout | 85% | 15% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
