Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jesse Winker

matchup for M. Rodriguez

379th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Manuel Rodriguez

matchup for Jesse Winker

431st out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Winker

Jesse Winker has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 1.1% lower than Winker's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	21.7%	2.1%	4.8%	14.9%	12.8%	24.3%
Winker	-1.1	+0.1	-0.6	-0.2	+0.9	-1.2	+2.1
Rodriguez	+3.2	+0.3	+0.1	+0.2	+0.0	+2.9	0.0

Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Winker has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Jesse Winker has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

39%

Sinker (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

23%

13% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-5%

36% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 36%

+28%

Small Break 24%

+12%

Large Drop 15%

+10%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.4% -0.9% 2%

Walk +4.9% -0.7% 40%

In Play -0.5% +1.6% 39%

On Base +7.3% -3.4% 31%

Hit +2.4% -2.7% 14%

Single +0.8% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.8%

35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 41.9% rate, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% +7.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.6% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% +6.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -3.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% -7.9% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -1.6%

26.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 24.6% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.0% +5.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.9% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.5% -6.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% +0.3%

11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.2% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%