Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jesse Winker

matchup for Zack Littell

320th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

Zack Littell

matchup for Jesse Winker

497th out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Leans in favor of Winker

Jesse Winker has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 6.4% lower than Winker's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Littell.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.2%	20.8%	3.0%	5.1%	12.8%	8.4%	21.3%
Winker	-6.4	-0.7	+0.3	+0.1	-1.1	-5.6	-0.9
Littell	+1.8	-0.9	+0.1	-0.3	-0.7	+2.7	-2.2

Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Winker has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Jesse Winker has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

37%

Splitter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

8% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

38% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 38%

+19%

Just Gravity 26%

+12%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.4% -0.6% 2%

Walk +4.9% -3.4% 40%

In Play -0.5% +4.0% 39%

On Base +7.3% -1.9% 31%

Hit +2.4% +1.5% 14%

Single +0.8% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +1.2% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.6%

35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Zack Littell induces Standard Grounders at a 29.7% rate, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -4.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.6% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% +1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +2.0% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% +0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +1.2% +2.4%

26.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 28.2% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.0% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% +0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.9% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.5% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% +3.9%

11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%