Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jesse Winker

matchup for Tyler Duffey

397th out of 436 (Worst 9%)

Tyler Duffey

matchup for Jesse Winker

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Winker

Jesse Winker has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 3.3% higher than Winker's typical expectations, and 4.8% higher than batters facing Duffey.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.9%	22.2%	2.4%	5.2%	14.5%	16.7%	22.5%
Winker	+3.3	+0.6	-0.3	+0.3	+0.6	+2.7	+0.3
Duffey	+4.8	-0.5	-0.2	0.0	-0.2	+5.3	-2.2

Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Winker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Jesse Winker has an F grade against right-handed Kn-Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

42%

4-Seam (R)

40%

Sinker (R)

14%

23% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 23%

+4%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

28% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Jesse Winker has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 28%

+23%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Breaking (R) 42%

+12%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.4% +3.7% 2%

Walk +4.9% -2.4% 40%

In Play -0.5% -1.3% 39%

On Base +7.3% -5.5% 31%

Hit +2.4% -3.1% 14%

Single +0.8% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +1.2% -1.3% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.5%

35.2% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Tyler Duffey induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.6% +3.2% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -1.0% 9%

Rising Liner +1.6% +1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.3% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.5% +0.1% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -0.5%

26.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.0% -1.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.1% -3.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +1.9% -0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -2.5% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.6% +2.8%

11.9% of Jesse Winker's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.4% -0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.8% +0.0% 8%

1 to 6° +2.3% +0.7% 18%

7 to 18° +1.4% +3.7% 15%

19 to 28° -2.3% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +0.5% -0.4% 7%

39 to 50° -1.6% -1.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.3% +0.6%

Jesse Winker has 1 plate appearance against Tyler Duffey in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.90	0.00	0.15	0.76			0.904

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-04-09	Lineout		15%	76%	10%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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