Matchup Machine

Jesse Winker

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matchup for Dylan Floro

366th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Dylan Floro

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matchup for Jesse Winker

147th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Extreme advantage for Winker
9

Model Prediction

Jesse Winker has a 36.5% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 0.9% higher than Winker's typical expectations, and 3.0% higher than batters facing Floro.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.5%25.2%2.9%5.2%17.1%11.4%15.2%
Winker+0.9+3.6+0.2+0.2+3.2-2.7-7.1
Floro+3.0-1.2-0.2-0.1-1.0+4.2-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jesse Winker is better vs right-handed pitching. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Winker has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Jesse Winker has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
24%
   4-Seam (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

12.0% of Jesse Winker's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.4% -2.5% 2%         Walk +4.9% -1.6% 40%         In Play -0.5% +4.0% 39%         On Base +7.3% +3.4% 31%         Hit +2.4% +5.0% 14%         Single +0.8% +3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.2% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +0.4% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years