Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

405th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Corey Seager

556th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Leans in favor of Seager
1

Model Prediction

Corey Seager has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 6.3% lower than Seager's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%23.1%4.6%5.4%13.2%6.8%36.2%
Seager-6.3-2.4-0.4-1.7-0.4-3.8+14.9
Crochet+2.6+2.8+1.9+1.0-0.1-0.3-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Seager is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Seager has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Corey Seager has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Corey Seager's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.2% +9.4% 5%         Walk -0.6% -1.4% 37%         In Play +5.8% -8.0% 39%         On Base +1.8% -4.4% 31%         Hit +2.5% -3.0% 14%         Single -1.2% -1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +4.5% -0.2%

History

Corey Seager has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2025-03-27Flyout
2025-03-27Strikeout
2025-03-27GIDP

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.