Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Corey Seager

313th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Extreme advantage for Seager
10

Model Prediction

Corey Seager has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 0.5% higher than Seager's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.2%27.7%4.3%5.9%17.5%8.5%20.9%
Seager+0.5+2.1-0.5-0.3+2.8-1.5+0.1
Suarez+2.2+2.9+1.9+0.2+0.8-0.8-3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Seager is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Seager has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Corey Seager has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Corey Seager's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.2% +0.1% 5%         Walk -1.0% -1.2% 37%         In Play +6.3% +1.1% 39%         On Base +1.5% +1.9% 31%         Hit +2.5% +3.1% 14%         Single -1.2% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% +2.2% 3%         Home Run +4.5% -0.9%

History

Corey Seager has 6 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual650000410.000
Expected From Contact →0.140.050.080.010.029
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-21Strikeout
2024-05-21Strikeout
2024-05-21Strikeout
2022-05-03Flyout5%8%1%86%
2022-05-03Walk
2022-05-03Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.