Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

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matchup for Michael Wacha

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Corey Seager

232nd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Extreme advantage for Seager
10

Model Prediction

Corey Seager has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.4% higher than Seager's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.3%26.4%4.8%7.0%14.5%9.0%17.1%
Seager-0.4+0.7+0.0+0.8-0.1-1.1-3.7
Wacha+4.2+3.2+2.1+1.9-0.8+1.0-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Seager is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Seager has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Corey Seager has an A+ grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Corey Seager's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.2% +0.4% 5%         Walk -1.0% -2.0% 37%         In Play +6.3% +1.5% 39%         On Base +1.5% -3.0% 31%         Hit +2.5% -1.0% 14%         Single -1.2% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +4.5% +0.1%

History

Corey Seager has 5 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001200.200
Expected From Contact →0.530.000.120.410.105
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-22Strikeout
2024-06-22Strikeout
2024-05-04Flyout1%99%
2024-05-04Pop Out99%
2024-05-04Single10%40%50%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.