matchup for Aaron Nola
matchup for Corey Seager
10
Corey Seager has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 0.9% lower than Seager's typical expectations, and 6.5% higher than batters facing Nola.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.0% | 26.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 25.3% |
| Seager | -0.9 | +1.2 | -0.3 | +2.2 | -0.7 | -2.2 | +4.6 |
| Nola | +6.5 | +4.0 | +1.0 | +1.9 | +1.1 | +2.5 | -5.5 |
Corey Seager is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Seager has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.
Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Corey Seager hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Kn-Curve (R)
30%
4-Seam (R)
30%
Sinker (R)
20%
Changeup (R)
12%
Cutter (R)
8%
8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Corey Seager has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Chaser
8%
+2%
Edge Painter
19%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+0%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Corey Seager has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
26%
+21%
Extreme Slow Velo
23%
+18%
Large Break
22%
+18%
11.6% of Corey Seager's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.1% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-5.1%
+6.3%
5%
Walk
-0.7%
-2.8%
37%
In Play
+5.8%
-3.5%
39%
On Base
+1.5%
-4.8%
31%
Hit
+2.2%
-2.0%
14%
Single
-1.4%
-0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.9%
-0.7%
3%
Home Run
+4.5%
-0.5%
32.4% of Corey Seager's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
0.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.0%
+2.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.9%
-0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-3.6%
-1.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.8%
+0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.8%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+1.9%
+0.1%
1%
No Doubter
+0.0%
+0.1%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.6%
-0.3%
3%
Pop up
-1.8%
-0.7%
32.8% of Corey Seager's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. 23.5% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-4.5%
+0.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-2.2%
-0.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.4%
+2.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.4%
-1.8%
24%
Above 100 mph
+8.5%
-0.8%
13.3% of Corey Seager's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-3.4%
-0.8%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.2%
+1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.6%
+0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.5%
+0.9%
15%
19 to 28°
+0.4%
0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+1.9%
-0.6%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.2%
-0.1%
8%
Above 50°
-1.9%
-1.4%
Corey Seager has 2 plate appearances against Aaron Nola in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 0.23 | 0.920 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-03-30 | Walk | ||||
| 2023-03-30 | Single | 69% | 23% | 8% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
