Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

Worst 7% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Austin Gomber

Worst 41% of matchups for Corey Seager

Extreme advantage for Seager

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.1%	5.3%	16.4%	7.0%	15.2%
MLB (+/-)	+1.3	+1.0	+2.5	-2.8	-10.0
Seager	-0.1	+0.0	+2.1	-4.0	-5.2
Gomber	+0.9	+0.9	+0.2	-0.9	-1.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.1%

5.3%

16.4%

7.0%

15.2%

MLB (+/-)

+1.3

+1.0

+2.5

-2.8

-10.0

Seager

-0.1

+0.0

+2.1

-4.0

-5.2

Gomber

+0.9

+0.2

-0.9

-1.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			1.37	0.33	0.45	0.60			.275

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-24	Groundout			23%	77%
2022-08-24	Lineout	33%	38%		29%
2022-04-11	Strikeout
2022-04-11	Single		5%	28%	67%
2022-04-11	Groundout		2%	8%	90%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	58%	103	LHB vs LHP	22	20%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

58%

103

LHB vs LHP

20%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	55%	120	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	39%	109	Breaking	-26	37%
⭐⭐	23%	125	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐⭐	54%	122	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐⭐	59%	98	Slider	-6	20%
⭐⭐	56%	118	Changeup	0	18%
⭐	65%	73	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

55%

120

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

39%

109

Breaking

-26

37%

⭐⭐

23%

125

Offspeed

18%

------------------

⭐⭐

54%

122

Four-Seam FB

-3

44%

⭐⭐

59%

Slider

-6

20%

⭐⭐

56%

118

Changeup

18%

⭐

65%

Knuckle-Curve

-94

17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	77%	6	Away / Glove Side	38	17%
⭐	82%	76	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	88%	125	Top of zone	-3	12%
	96%	85	Middle	45	7%
	74%	55	In / Arm Side	52	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

77%

Away / Glove Side

17%

⭐

82%

Bottom of zone

13%

⭐⭐

88%

125

Top of zone

-3

12%

96%

Middle

74%

In / Arm Side

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	38%	37	Away / Glove Side	41	34%
	45%	61	Below the zone	22	30%
⭐	34%	72	Above the zone	8	24%
⭐⭐	43%	112	In / Arm Side	19	10%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

38%

Away / Glove Side

34%

45%

Below the zone

30%

⭐

34%

Above the zone

24%

⭐⭐

43%

112

In / Arm Side

10%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	55%	124	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	53%	100	Batter Behind	0	28%
⭐⭐	62%	112	Batter Ahead	4	26%
	58%	48	2 Strikes	-23	26%
⭐	66%	74	3 Balls	2	8%
⭐	69%	62	Full Count	-9	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

55%

124

First Pitch

28%

⭐⭐

53%

100

Batter Behind

28%

⭐⭐

62%

112

Batter Ahead

26%

58%

2 Strikes

-23

26%

⭐

66%

3 Balls

⭐

69%

Full Count

-9