Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

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matchup for Ross Stripling

433rd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

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Ross Stripling

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matchup for Corey Seager

74th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Seager
10

Model Prediction

Corey Seager has a 38.7% chance of reaching base vs Ross Stripling, which is 3.0% higher than Seager's typical expectations, and 3.8% higher than batters facing Stripling.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.7%33.3%4.3%7.5%21.6%5.4%10.8%
Seager+3.0+7.6-0.6+1.3+7.0-4.7-10.0
Stripling+3.8+4.3+1.6+1.5+1.3-0.5-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Corey Seager is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Ross Stripling is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Seager has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ross Stripling throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Corey Seager has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
19%
   Kn-Curve (R)
16%
   Sinker (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Corey Seager's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Ross Stripling strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.2% +3.2% 5%         Walk -1.0% -2.9% 37%         In Play +6.3% -0.3% 39%         On Base +1.5% -3.9% 31%         Hit +2.5% -0.9% 14%         Single -1.2% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.8% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +4.5% -0.1%

History

Corey Seager has 10 plate appearances against Ross Stripling in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 10 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual10101001200.100
Expected From Contact →1.570.100.431.030.157
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-07Fielders Choice3%97%
2024-05-07Strikeout
2024-04-10GIDP9%91%
2024-04-10Groundout11%89%
2024-04-10Strikeout
2023-08-11Lineout5%95%
2023-08-11Forceout2%98%
2022-09-09Lineout10%34%55%
2022-09-09Groundout2%98%
2022-09-09Single4%75%21%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.