Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carson Kelly

matchup for Ryan Johnson

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Ryan Johnson

matchup for Carson Kelly

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Kelly

Carson Kelly has a 36.2% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 3.4% higher than Kelly's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Johnson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	36.2%	23.4%	3.2%	6.2%	13.9%	12.8%	16.7%
Kelly	+3.4	+0.4	+0.2	+1.2	-1.0	+3.0	-2.4
Johnson	+1.3	-0.1	+0.2	+0.2	-0.4	+1.4	-3.2

Carson Kelly is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Carson Kelly has an F grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

62%

Sinker (R)

18%

4-Seam (R)

Changeup (R)

21% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 21%

+8%

Edge Painter 24%

+6%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 3%

-3%

Fringe Miss 3%

-10%

88% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a C grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 88%

+35%

Just Gravity 41%

+28%

Medium Break 35%

+26%

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+25%

11.5% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.2% -14.4% 4%

Walk +0.3% +2.1% 38%

In Play +5.0% +12.3% 39%

On Base -1.8% +6.0% 31%

Hit -2.1% +3.9% 14%

Single -1.2% -6.4% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -5.9% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +16.2%

35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Ryan Johnson induces Standard Grounders at a 25.3% rate, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -9.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% -15.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% +9.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +11.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% -20.1% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +46.0%

21.0% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.8% +8.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% +16.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -18.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% -6.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% +1.0%

13.9% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at this angle, which is 13.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%