Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carson Kelly

matchup for Slade Cecconi

273rd out of 436 (Worst 38%)

Slade Cecconi

matchup for Carson Kelly

294th out of 567 (Worst 48%)

Strong advantage for Kelly

Carson Kelly has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 1.6% lower than Kelly's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.2%	24.8%	3.6%	5.6%	15.6%	6.4%	18.2%
Kelly	-1.6	+1.8	+0.6	+0.5	+0.7	-3.5	-0.9
Cecconi	-0.4	-0.5	+0.3	-0.5	-0.3	+0.1	-3.8

Carson Kelly is worse vs right-handed pitching. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Kelly has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Carson Kelly has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

25%

Changeup (R)

10%

Curve (R)

15% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

41% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 41%

+20%

Medium Ride 24%

+11%

Fast Velo 24%

+9%

11.5% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.2% -4.8% 4%

Walk +0.3% -4.3% 38%

In Play +5.0% +9.0% 39%

On Base -1.8% -1.5% 31%

Hit -2.1% +2.8% 14%

Single -1.2% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +0.8% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +1.4%

35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Slade Cecconi induces Standard Grounders at a 25.7% rate, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -8.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% -1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +5.1% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% +3.1% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +2.7%

21.0% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 22.8% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.8% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% +3.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% +1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% -1.5%

13.9% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%