Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carson Kelly

matchup for Jack Dreyer

380th out of 436 (Worst 13%)

Jack Dreyer

matchup for Carson Kelly

out of 564 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Kelly

Carson Kelly has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Jack Dreyer, which is 1.5% higher than Kelly's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Dreyer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	22.3%	3.0%	5.6%	13.8%	12.0%	20.1%
Kelly	+1.5	-0.7	-0.1	+0.5	-1.2	+2.2	+1.0
Dreyer	+1.7	+0.5	+0.3	+0.3	-0.2	+1.2	-4.3

Carson Kelly is better vs left-handed pitching. Jack Dreyer is left handed .

Jack Dreyer throws a Slider 47% of the time. Carson Kelly has an A+ grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

47%

4-Seam (L)

41%

Curve (L)

12%

21% of Jack Dreyer's pitches are classified as Fringe Misss, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Fringe Miss 21%

+8%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 3%

-3%

Edge Painter 12%

-5%

Mid Challenge 3%

-8%

Non-Competitive 3%

-10%

Likely Ball 6%

-14%

59% of Jack Dreyer's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an A grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 59%

+29%

Medium Slow Velo 41%

+27%

Extreme Ride 29%

+26%

Small Break 35%

+25%

Fringe Miss 21%

+8%

11.5% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Jack Dreyer strikes out 21.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.2% -2.3% 4%

Walk +0.3% -8.0% 38%

In Play +5.0% +10.3% 39%

On Base -1.8% -13.6% 31%

Hit -2.1% -5.6% 14%

Single -1.2% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% -1.0% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -3.1%

35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Jack Dreyer induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% -3.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +12.5% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -3.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% +13.2% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -3.4%

21.0% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 22.0% of batted balls allowed by Jack Dreyer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.8% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% +12.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -7.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% +2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% -2.3%

13.9% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 0.0% of batted balls allowed by Jack Dreyer are hit at this angle, which is 11.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%