Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carson Kelly

matchup for Logan Gillaspie

354th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

Logan Gillaspie

matchup for Carson Kelly

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Kelly

Carson Kelly has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gillaspie, which is 0.1% higher than Kelly's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Gillaspie.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.9%	25.6%	2.6%	6.0%	17.0%	7.3%	15.3%
Kelly	+0.1	+2.6	-0.4	+0.9	+2.1	-2.5	-3.8
Gillaspie	+1.3	+0.3	-0.1	+0.5	-0.1	+1.0	-4.1

Carson Kelly is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gillaspie is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelly has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gillaspie throws a 4-seam fastball 46% of the time. Carson Kelly has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

46%

Slider (R)

24%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

14% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

32% of Logan Gillaspie's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Medium Break 33%

+14%

High Ride 21%

+11%

11.5% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Logan Gillaspie strikes out 10.1% of the batters he faces, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.2% -9.1% 4%

Walk +0.3% -5.0% 38%

In Play +5.0% +14.2% 39%

On Base -1.8% +11.5% 31%

Hit -2.1% +16.6% 14%

Single -1.2% +8.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.3% +7.8% 3%

Home Run +0.4% +0.2%

35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Logan Gillaspie induces Standard Grounders at a 30.6% rate, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.7% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.8% -3.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer +1.0% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.8% +3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -2.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.6% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -1.7%

21.0% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 31.6% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.8% -3.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.6% -4.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.8% -5.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.0% +5.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% +7.3%

13.9% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gillaspie are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%