matchup for Ryder Ryan
matchup for Carson Kelly
10
Carson Kelly has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryder Ryan, which is 4.1% higher than Kelly's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Ryan.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.9% | 24.7% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% |
| Kelly | +4.1 | +2.3 | -0.5 | +1.6 | +1.2 | +1.8 | -3.4 |
| Ryan | +1.0 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | +1.6 | -3.7 |
Carson Kelly is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryder Ryan is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelly has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Ryder Ryan throws a Slider 44% of the time. Carson Kelly has a D+ grade against right-handed Sliders
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Slider (R)
44%
Sinker (R)
40%
4-Seam (R)
16%
14% of Ryder Ryan's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+6%
Meatball
7%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Mid Challenge
9%
-2%
Strong Challenge
3%
-2%
Non-Competitive
9%
-4%
42% of Ryder Ryan's pitches are classified as Small Drop, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Carson Kelly has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Small Drop
42%
+30%
Extreme Break
41%
+27%
Fast Velo
31%
+16%
Breaking (R)
44%
+13%
11.0% of Carson Kelly's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% lower than the league average. Ryder Ryan strikes out 9.3% of the batters he faces, which is 8.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-6.0%
-8.7%
4%
Walk
+0.8%
+0.5%
37%
In Play
+5.2%
+8.2%
39%
On Base
-0.6%
+5.3%
31%
Hit
-1.4%
+4.8%
14%
Single
-1.1%
+1.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.2%
+2.2%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
+0.8%
35.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.8% higher than the league average. Ryder Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 29.4% rate, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.7%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.8%
-5.0%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.4%
+3.1%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.0%
-0.6%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.8%
+0.2%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
+0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.5%
+0.3%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.2%
-0.4%
3%
Pop up
+1.5%
+4.0%
21.2% of Carson Kelly's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryder Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.7%
-1.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.7%
-1.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.0%
-1.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
0.0%
+1.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.1%
+2.8%
13.8% of Carson Kelly's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryder Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-0.6%
-5.3%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.1%
-1.2%
8%
1 to 6°
+1.1%
+1.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-4.0%
-0.7%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.3%
-0.3%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.4%
-1.5%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
+5.6%
8%
Above 50°
+2.3%
+2.4%
No History in the last 3 years
